Economic forecasts continue to look strong for Texas, the United States, and the world, but there is some uncertainty heading into the end of the year.
Last week, U.S. jobless claims reached a 52-year low. The U.S. economy is showing broad signs of health, as consumer spending is up, businesses are increasing investment, and supply-chain problems begin to fade. Stock market indexes have broken numerous records over the last year.
Here in Texas, higher oil prices have driven a resurgence in fracking, particularly in the Permian Basin, which has roared back to life and is expected to set crude oil output records in December. However, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, indicated that the central bank could begin scaling back economic stimulus policies, such as bond purchases, over the next year.
Simultaneously, the rise of a new COVID-19 variant, called the Omicron variant, has caused some uncertainty in the stock market.
In the near term, it is expected that the Texas recovery continues, and state revenue collections remain strong, despite some headwinds.
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